NVDA PUT +$2.95 (+295F) in 115m — volatility squeezed then breakdown held
The $220.33 NVDA PUT (entered 9:55am, exited 11:50am at $217.38) made +$2.95 while the market started in a tight range (bands tightened) and then expanded lower after the signal. Momentum and breakdown got confirmed as the bearish move strengthened: volume spiked at 9:40am with no bullish support below, momentum flipped with a DI+ win at 10:10am, then price broke below the opening range low at 10:25am ($218.86) as volume picked up again and the move followed through into the 11:25am peak.
NVDA’s 9:55am PUT at $220.33 paid +$2.95 by the 11:50am exit at $217.38, a 115-minute hold that captured 60% of the session’s best close-to-close move after a $4.88 max MFE at 11:25am. Z3 didn’t light immediately, but the bearish cape fired at 10:30am and stayed active for 7 bars, with the strongest reading hitting -2.08 at 11:20am as downside momentum finally got real teeth. The move got confirmed the right way: a 9:40am overhead volume anchor sat in the loft with no bull anchor underneath, bands had tightened into the open, DI- took control at 10:10am, the Kijun flip hit at 10:20am, price broke below the IB low at 10:25am at $218.86, and volume/expansion started backing the breakdown from 10:00am through 10:40am. It wasn’t clean early, with price pushing $0.80 against the put by 10:00am, and it took the full 115 minutes before the trade had 10F to show, then gave back $1.93 from the peak into exit.
Verdict: messy but valid, definitely not a free ride, and while the hold was theta-expensive the structure was good enough to make the patience worth it.